Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.380943 0.416468 0.454362 0.497883 0.546594 0.599561 0.661679
2025-12-21 0.312387 0.360187 0.414607 0.481518 0.562074 0.656560 0.776696
2025-12-28 0.283063 0.338476 0.404468 0.489611 0.597649 0.731655 0.912788
2026-01-04 0.261079 0.321304 0.395646 0.495372 0.627510 0.799260 1.043869
2026-01-11 0.242728 0.306005 0.386512 0.498163 0.651743 0.859745 1.170160
2026-01-18 0.227250 0.292560 0.377877 0.499733 0.673060 0.916727 1.296375
2026-01-25 0.215190 0.282351 0.372225 0.504113 0.697655 0.979474 1.437036
2026-02-01 0.200071 0.266690 0.357649 0.494208 0.699986 1.008811 1.528540
2026-02-08 0.190742 0.258278 0.352360 0.496889 0.720623 1.066968 1.672006
2026-02-15 0.180598 0.247951 0.343458 0.493210 0.730711 1.108868 1.792542
2026-02-22 0.173083 0.240867 0.338673 0.495160 0.749397 1.165817 1.945403
2026-03-01 0.164219 0.231227 0.329390 0.489256 0.754570 1.200227 2.061210
2026-03-08 0.155942 0.222109 0.320493 0.483550 0.759952 1.236132 2.185929
2026-03-15 0.145910 0.209814 0.306022 0.467830 0.747067 1.238603 2.246312
2026-03-22 0.142152 0.206901 0.305930 0.475642 0.775343 1.317855 2.470872
2026-03-29 0.138174 0.203393 0.304625 0.481204 0.799915 1.392476 2.696581
2026-04-05 0.133880 0.199135 0.301817 0.483898 0.819339 1.458988 2.914534
2026-04-12 0.129650 0.194747 0.298510 0.485412 0.836552 1.522686 3.135753
2026-04-19 0.126226 0.191474 0.296837 0.489640 0.859147 1.599447 3.399602
2026-04-26 0.120470 0.184107 0.287883 0.480080 0.854089 1.618012 3.525186
2026-05-03 0.117259 0.180800 0.285648 0.482668 0.873215 1.689929 3.796178
2026-05-10 0.113182 0.175854 0.280325 0.479117 0.879576 1.734513 4.003745
2026-05-17 0.110256 0.172717 0.277976 0.480999 0.897181 1.805960 4.295917